Manchester United Manchester City
Sun 6th Apr 16:30 Premier League

Manchester Derby Foul Tips

It’s that time again — Manchester splits in two, red and blue, pride on the line and bragging rights up for grabs. United vs City. The Derby. Once a finely tuned machine under Pep, City have shown real weakness in the absence of Rodri. On the other side, United are more of a mystery box — rarely brilliant, often baffling, and never dull.

It’s not just another fixture — it’s a battle for the city, for the pubs, for the group chats. And win or lose, one half of Manchester won’t shut up about it until the next one.

Leny Yoro 1+ Fouls Committed
 Paddy Power
odds:
2.0

Yoro fouls in starts when accounting for supersub:
1,1,1,1,1,2,0,2,2,1,2 

Big Leny has been as consistent a Foul-Clubber as you’ll find, with 1+ landing in 10 of his last 11 starts.  It is difficult to predict who starts wide left for City as Pep is prone to rotation but there are some players who should be around Yoro who draw great numbers:

Grealish - 3.01p90
Marmoush - 2.06p90
Doku - 1.73p90

Marmoush 1+ Fouls Committed
Nunes 2+ Fouls Committed
Dorgu 2+ Fouls Drawn
Bruno Fernandes 2+ Fouls Committed
 Paddy Power
odds:
15/1

Similar to Yoro, Marmoush has started life in Manchester getting involved in the rough and tumble. He is fouling 1.26p90 and has fouled in his last 9 straight matches, despite only featuring for 21 and 29 mins in 2 of them. Nunes has been consistent for fouls since moving to RB, racking up 2,2,3,3,0,2 in his last 6. He should be up against big Patrick Dorgu, who did let us down midweek, but his underlying stats prove this should’ve been a blip, and the big man will cause chaos once again.

Bruno Fernandes can be a real shithouse, whether it be crunching tackles or diving to win a foul, but we are targeting him to commit today. He averages 1.71 per game v City and in some of the more recent games. He has seen a slight drop of of late to his fouls, but managed 3 v Forest on Tuesday to get warmed up for the big one on Sunday.

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