Before you all throw your laptops and smartphones at the wall and send me a barrage of online abuse, just hear me out. Leicester are going down without merely a whimper; I’ve seen more spike in a convent sewing room.
Leicester are conceding a very low number of free kicks. While not conceding fouls is admirable, it doesn’t scream “I’m going to do all I can to get a win” does it? It hints at downing tools and with 9 losses and a draw in their last 10, this does seem to be the case.
Leicester have only conceded 12 or more free kicks in 3/15 recent games giving this bet a recent success rate of 80%.
Leicester FK’s conceded: 9,8,8,6,12,6,10,9,11,13,16,8,7,9,11
At home they’ve conceded the 12 or more free kicks that would lose this bet in just 1/11 recent matches, which is a much higher recent success ratio of 91% at home.
Leicester FK’s conceded at home: 8,6,10,9,8,7,9,11,15,9,9
When trying to envision how the game is going to go, I’m predicting that Leicester are going to sit back deep and allow Liverpool a lot of time on the ball. This one-sided, defence against attack, type of game usually results in a low foul count. This was most certainly the case when these sides met at Anfield where Liverpool had 70% possession and just the 5 free kicks.
Finally, if Liverpool start banging in the goals, which is highly likely considering the converse form of both sides, this could turn in to a training ground exercise, which would really suit this long shot and makes it well worth taking on.
All the best of luck if you tail, gamble responsibly and always stick to a staking plan.